Difference between revisions of "ForestGALES"

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Acronym: ForestGALES
 
Acronym: ForestGALES
 
Web page:
 
  
 
=== Brief overview ===
 
=== Brief overview ===
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[[Category:Decision support system]]
 
[[Category:Decision support system]]
[[Category:GB Forestry DSS|ForestGALES]]
+
[[Category:British DSS]]
[[Category:Wind hazard|ForestGALES]]
+
[[Category:GB Forestry DSS]]
[[Category:Multi-platform application|Forest Gales]]
+
 
[[Image:forestGALES.jpg|right|ForestGALES]]
 
[[Image:forestGALES.jpg|right|ForestGALES]]
 +
 
__TOC__
 
__TOC__
  
 
=== Scope of the system ===
 
=== Scope of the system ===
This is a probability-based model that has been delivered as a [[DSS]]. It evaluates the wind hazard of a conifer stand plantation, based on some of the stand feature, like soil, cultivation, drainage, location, or metric measures (top height, average dbh) of the existing species. It provides information as the return period for that damage to occur, risk status and critical wind speed for both overturn and stem break risk.
+
This is a probability-based model that has been delivered as a [[DSS]]. It evaluates the wind hazard of a conifer stand plantation, based on some of the stand feature, like soil, cultivation, drainage, location, or metric measures (top height, average dbh) of the existing species. It provides information as the return period for that damage to occur, risk status and critical wind speed for both overturning and stem breakage risk.
It allows to quantify the wind hazard existing in actual stands or, with the help of growth prediction models or yield tables, the future risk of wind damage assumed by current decisions on the establishment of new plantations, drainage improvements, thinning options, clear-cutting impact, rotation periods or the creation of retentions
+
It allows to quantify the wind hazard existing in actual stands or, with the help of growth prediction models or yield tables, the future risk of wind damage assumed by current decisions on the establishment of new plantations, drainage improvements, thinning options, clear-cutting impact, rotation periods or the creation of retentions.
 +
 
 +
ForestGALES can be used to calculate the risk for a particular stand in the [[:Category:Stand level|single stand]] mode, or in the batch or [[:Category:Multiple stand level|multiple stand]] mode, for a number of stands one after another. Within these two modes there are three ways of making predictions: using field measurements, using stand characteristics provided by a yield model, or making predictions through time, calculating the risk of damage over a typical rotation from stand characteristics contained in yield models.
  
 
=== System origin ===
 
=== System origin ===
* Developed by Barry Gardiner, Juan Suarez, Bruce Nicoll, Sophie Hale and others assisting the Stability team.
+
* Developed by the Stability project team from the GB Forestry Commission.
* Currently free to use at stand scale via web.
+
* ForestGALES was designed in consultation with representatives of both private and state forestry organisations.
 +
* ForestGALES 2.1 PC-based version can be purchased by 130£. There is also a free, web-based, reduced, single stand version available within the [[GB Forestry DSS|GB Forestry Decision Support System]] previous registration.
 
* Used in research, education, public and private sector forestry.
 
* Used in research, education, public and private sector forestry.
  
 
=== Support for specific issues  ===
 
=== Support for specific issues  ===
[[:Category:Wind hazard |Wind hazard ]]
+
[[:Category:Wind hazard|Wind hazard]], it estimates critical wind speed that will cause damage.
 +
 
 +
Also, the model allows greater flexibility for testing different forest-management scenarios such as the choice of cultivation, thinning options, drainage improvements, the impact of clear-cutting and the creation of retentions.
  
 
=== Support for specific thematic areas of a problem type  ===
 
=== Support for specific thematic areas of a problem type  ===
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=== Related systems  ===
 
=== Related systems  ===
 +
*[[GB Forestry DSS]]
 
*[[Conifer Timber Quality Model]]
 
*[[Conifer Timber Quality Model]]
 
*[[ESC]]
 
*[[ESC]]
 
*[[EMIS]]
 
*[[EMIS]]
 +
*[[HMSS]]
 +
*ForestGALES is part of the [http://www.svo.se/episerver4/default.aspx?id=31636 STORMRISK] project, which aims to prevent the North Sea Region from the effects of storm felling in forest landscapes.
  
  
 
== Data and data models ==
 
== Data and data models ==
  
 +
[[Image:ForestGALES_query.png|thumb|300px|ForestGALES screen showing the query form for Single stand predictions using field measurements.]]
 
=== Typical spatial extent of application  ===
 
=== Typical spatial extent of application  ===
 
Stand based tool operates at stand scale upto 10 hectares, batch GIS tool has generated regional and national scenarios.
 
Stand based tool operates at stand scale upto 10 hectares, batch GIS tool has generated regional and national scenarios.
 
[[Category: Stand level|Forest Gales]]
 
  
 
=== Forest data input  ===
 
=== Forest data input  ===
Location via OS GB six figure grid reference, eg NT090950. This allows site windiness to be determined from a digital map.  
+
 
 +
Location via OS GB six figure grid reference, e.g., NT090950. This allows site windiness to be determined from a digital map.
  
 
=== Type of information input from user (via GUI) ===
 
=== Type of information input from user (via GUI) ===
As an alternative to location user can choose a windiness (dams) score or calculate this factor from site factors (aspect, etc.)
+
In the ''Predictions using field measurements'' mode the users have to input the characteristics of stand (name, cultivation, drainage, soil type, and stocking), tree (species, top height of stand, and mean DBH), and the type of trees standing on the edge. DAMS (measure of site windiness) can be introduced through the grid reference of the site or can be calculated introducing some stand topography characteristics. If the ''Predictions using yield models'' is chosen, the tree characteristics would be calculated from yield models, having the user to introduce the yield class, thinning regime, initial spacing, and age from the stand. In ''Predictions through time'' mode no new information from the above explained is required.
  
User selects tree species, soil, management scenario for detailed analysis from an intermediate screen.
+
The available species are:
 +
*[[:Category:Pinus sylvestris|Scots pine]]
 +
*[[:Category:Pinus nigra subsp. salzmannii var. corsicana|Corsican pine]]
 +
*[[:Category:Pinus contorta|Lodgepole pine]]
 +
*[[:Category:Larix decidua|European larch]]
 +
*[[:Category:Larix kaempferi|Japanese larch]]
 +
*[[:Category:Larix x hybrida|Hybrid larch]]
 +
*[[:Category:Pseudotsuga menziesii|Douglas fir]]
 +
*[[:Category:Abies procera|Noble fir]]
 +
*[[:Category:Abies grandis|Grand fir]]
 +
*[[:Category:Picea sitchensis|Sitka spruce]]
 +
*[[:Category:Picea abies|Norway spruce]]
 +
*[[:Category:Tsuga heterophylla|Western hemlock]]
  
  
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=== Forest models ===
 
=== Forest models ===
 
+
The ForestGALES model takes into account the effect of species, cultivation, drainage and silviculture.
Growth, wind hazard.
+
Using information about the site (including soil and cultivation) and the trees (such as species and height), the model first calculates the wind speed at which trees will be damaged either by uprooting or stem breakage. A mechanistic model is used in order to estimate this parameter.
 
+
The probability of damaging winds occurring is then calculated using information on the wind climate.
It uses a mechanistic model to estimate the critical wind speeds. The system estimates the threshold wind speed that are predicted to overturn and break stems within the canopy, as a function of tree height, diameter, current spacing, soil type, cultivation, drainage and choice of species <ref> REYNOLDS K.M., TWERY M., LEXER M.J., VACIK H., RAY D., SHAO G,. et BORGES J.G.: Decision Support Systems in Forest Management IN BURSTEIN F. et HOLSAPPLE C. W. (EDS.) (2008): Handbook on Decision Support Systems 2: Variations. Springer Berlin Heidelberg. 800 pp. </ref>.
+
  
  
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=== Typical temporal scale of application ===
 
=== Typical temporal scale of application ===
Allows full lifecycle analysis of a rotation 15-80+ years depending upon species.
+
Allows full lifecycle analysis of a rotation 15-80 years depending upon species.
  
 
=== Types of decisions supported  ===
 
=== Types of decisions supported  ===
Line 105: Line 122:
 
**unilateral
 
**unilateral
 
** collegial
 
** collegial
**Bargaining / participative decision making
 
  
 
=== Decision-making processes and models ===
 
=== Decision-making processes and models ===
 
*Logic modeling  
 
*Logic modeling  
*Operations research modeling
 
**Direct approaches
 
**Heuristic manipulation of simulation models
 
 
*Multiple criteria/ranking
 
*Multiple criteria/ranking
*Other
+
 
  
 
== Output ==
 
== Output ==
  
 +
[[Image:ForestGALES_results.png|thumb|300px|ForestGALES output screen showing results form for a single stand prediction through time.]]
 
=== Types of  outputs ===
 
=== Types of  outputs ===
 +
Stand version displays critical wind speed, return period, and wind damage risk status. Thematic maps can be generated via a batch tool for visualisation in GIS.
 +
 +
In the ''Predictions through time'' mode the results are displayed in a graphic and a table showing the return period in years for damaging
 +
storms at intervals throughout the rotation.
  
Stand version generates tables, thematic maps can be generated via a batch tool for visualisation in GIS.
+
There are export facilities allowing results to be sent to Microsoft® Word as a .doc or .rtf file in the Single Stand mode and to Microsoft® Excel® in Batch Mode for display, storage and printing.
  
 
=== Spatial analysis capabilities  ===
 
=== Spatial analysis capabilities  ===
* integrated capabilities
+
The main part of ForestGALES (that does the calculations) was constructed as a stand-alone dynamic link library (DLL), being accessible from other programs, so made it easily integrated with GIS software such as ArcView.  
* GIS links via batch tool. Limitations in this context due to availability of digital soil maps.
+
* provides standard data import/export formats (excel)  
+
* allows spatial analysis, batch tool generates thematic layers by exporting data to GIS.
+
  
 
=== Abilities to address interdisciplinary, multi-scaled, and political issues  ===
 
=== Abilities to address interdisciplinary, multi-scaled, and political issues  ===
 
Evaluate interactions between different basic information types (biophysical, economic, social). Produce coordinated results for decision makers operating at different spatial scales facilitate social negotiation and learning
 
Evaluate interactions between different basic information types (biophysical, economic, social). Produce coordinated results for decision makers operating at different spatial scales facilitate social negotiation and learning
 +
  
 
== System ==
 
== System ==
  
 
=== System requirements  ===
 
=== System requirements  ===
* Java library deployed on Linux and Windows. UI available at stand level via web, or batch system via command line.
+
* The commercial version was designed to run under Microsoft® Windows® OS.
* Delphi version requires Windows operating system.
+
* Pentium 133 MHz processor or better
 +
* 500 MB free hard disk space  (for full installation including wind scores)
 +
* 128 MB RAM (minimum)
 +
* CD-ROM drive
 +
* Super VGA (800x600) or higher resolution monitor
 +
* Recommended: Microsoft Excel/Word 97® or above to use data export facilities
  
 
=== Architecture and major DSS components ===
 
=== Architecture and major DSS components ===
3 tier architecture ( UI, Models, Data)
+
Desktop UI was written in Delphi™ as a PC-based system.
 
+
Web based UI using JSP, HTML, CSS
+
 
+
Desktop UI in Delphi.
+
 
+
Also desktop batch tool for GIS processing using Java.
+
 
+
Models are implemented in java and delphi. Available as dll.
+
 
+
Some simple web service interfaces developed for integration with other systems.
+
  
Basic dataflow is location accesses site climate data, this and other user input data (tree species/management/soil) are then processed by the various models to generate outputs.  
+
The application has also been adapted to link to the ArcView™ GIS system using Avenue™ scripting.  
  
 
=== Usage ===
 
=== Usage ===
 
Used in education, public and private sector forestry and research.  
 
Used in education, public and private sector forestry and research.  
  
Adapted for use in many other countries.
+
Initially developed in Scotland for its usage in the British forests, has since been adapted for use New Zealand, south-west France, eastern Canada and Japan. Also, an adaptation that allows input parameters and wind climate to be easily modified for other countries will be made available.
  
 
=== Computational limitations ===
 
=== Computational limitations ===
Line 160: Line 171:
  
 
=== User interface ===
 
=== User interface ===
Web UI
+
The appearance of ForestGALES offers a consistent view designed for easier operation.
 
+
Delphi desktop UI
+
  
 
For GIS offline service to process data and return a spatial layer with wind risk variables attached. Processing via command line UI. Visualisation any GIS tool.
 
For GIS offline service to process data and return a spatial layer with wind risk variables attached. Processing via command line UI. Visualisation any GIS tool.
  
 
=== Documentation and support ===
 
=== Documentation and support ===
Manual available for desktop version. Support available via email. No training courses in recent times but these were run in the past.
+
Manual available for desktop version. Support available via email and extensive [http://www.forestresearch.gov.uk/website/forestresearch.nsf/ByUnique/INFD-5V9KJN on-line help].
 +
 
 +
[http://www.forestresearch.gov.uk/website/forestresearch.nsf/ByUnique/INFD-5V9KHP ForestGALES training courses] were run in the past with regularity, but now are being run when there is sufficient demand.
  
 
=== Installation ===
 
=== Installation ===
* Prerequisite knowledge: Requires web browser. Server installation requires specialised skills and tools. Batch mode requires some configuration on host machine.
+
* Desktop version is easy to install in MS Windows with the program's CD.
 +
* Online reduced version only requires a web-browser and an internet access.
  
* Windows setup fairly simple via installer.
 
  
 
==References==
 
==References==
 
===Cited references===
 
<references/>
 
  
 
===External resources===
 
===External resources===
[http://www.eforestry.gov.uk/forestdss Forest Research Decision Support Portal] (note registration required)
+
* [http://www.forestresearch.gov.uk/forestgales ForestGALES website]
 +
* [http://www.eforestry.gov.uk/forestdss Forest Research Decision Support Portal] (note registration required)
 +
* GARDINER B., J SUÁREZ, A. ACHIM, S. HALE et B. NICOLL (2006): ''ForestGALES. A PC-based wind risk model for British Forests. User’s Guide. Version 2.1''. Forestry Commission. (available on-line in [http://www.forestresearch.gov.uk/pdf/ForestGALES2_Manual_v2_1.pdf/$FILE/ForestGALES2_Manual_v2_1.pdf pdf])
 +
* REYNOLDS K.M., TWERY M., LEXER M.J., VACIK H., RAY D., SHAO G,. et BORGES J.G.: Decision Support Systems in Forest Management IN BURSTEIN F. et HOLSAPPLE C. W. (EDS.) (2008): Handbook on Decision Support Systems 2: Variations. Springer Berlin Heidelberg. 800 pp.

Latest revision as of 06:59, 14 October 2012

General System description

System name: Geographic Analysis of the Losses and Effects of Storms in Forestry

Acronym: ForestGALES

Brief overview

ForestGALES allows the analysis of wind climate effects on the stability of a conifer forest. The tool can be used to assess risk over time via predicted growth from yield tables or alternatively current risk from mensuration data (top height and dbh).

Recently adapted as part of Stormrisk project to allow model to run in partner countries.
ForestGALES

Scope of the system

This is a probability-based model that has been delivered as a DSS. It evaluates the wind hazard of a conifer stand plantation, based on some of the stand feature, like soil, cultivation, drainage, location, or metric measures (top height, average dbh) of the existing species. It provides information as the return period for that damage to occur, risk status and critical wind speed for both overturning and stem breakage risk. It allows to quantify the wind hazard existing in actual stands or, with the help of growth prediction models or yield tables, the future risk of wind damage assumed by current decisions on the establishment of new plantations, drainage improvements, thinning options, clear-cutting impact, rotation periods or the creation of retentions.

ForestGALES can be used to calculate the risk for a particular stand in the single stand mode, or in the batch or multiple stand mode, for a number of stands one after another. Within these two modes there are three ways of making predictions: using field measurements, using stand characteristics provided by a yield model, or making predictions through time, calculating the risk of damage over a typical rotation from stand characteristics contained in yield models.

System origin

  • Developed by the Stability project team from the GB Forestry Commission.
  • ForestGALES was designed in consultation with representatives of both private and state forestry organisations.
  • ForestGALES 2.1 PC-based version can be purchased by 130£. There is also a free, web-based, reduced, single stand version available within the GB Forestry Decision Support System previous registration.
  • Used in research, education, public and private sector forestry.

Support for specific issues

Wind hazard, it estimates critical wind speed that will cause damage.

Also, the model allows greater flexibility for testing different forest-management scenarios such as the choice of cultivation, thinning options, drainage improvements, the impact of clear-cutting and the creation of retentions.

Support for specific thematic areas of a problem type

  • Silvicultural
  • Certification
  • Conservation
  • Restoration
  • Development choices / land use zoning
  • Policy/intervention alternatives
  • Sustainability impact assessment (SIA)

Capability to support decision making phases

  • Intelligence
gives user detailed site analysis (climate and soil parameters).
  • Design
provides site analysis in context of many themes.
  • Choice
allows user to vary species choice, management options.
  • Monitor
highlights risks which in theory could encourage monitoring.

Related systems


Data and data models

ForestGALES screen showing the query form for Single stand predictions using field measurements.

Typical spatial extent of application

Stand based tool operates at stand scale upto 10 hectares, batch GIS tool has generated regional and national scenarios.

Forest data input

Location via OS GB six figure grid reference, e.g., NT090950. This allows site windiness to be determined from a digital map.

Type of information input from user (via GUI)

In the Predictions using field measurements mode the users have to input the characteristics of stand (name, cultivation, drainage, soil type, and stocking), tree (species, top height of stand, and mean DBH), and the type of trees standing on the edge. DAMS (measure of site windiness) can be introduced through the grid reference of the site or can be calculated introducing some stand topography characteristics. If the Predictions using yield models is chosen, the tree characteristics would be calculated from yield models, having the user to introduce the yield class, thinning regime, initial spacing, and age from the stand. In Predictions through time mode no new information from the above explained is required.

The available species are:


Models

Forest models

The ForestGALES model takes into account the effect of species, cultivation, drainage and silviculture. Using information about the site (including soil and cultivation) and the trees (such as species and height), the model first calculates the wind speed at which trees will be damaged either by uprooting or stem breakage. A mechanistic model is used in order to estimate this parameter. The probability of damaging winds occurring is then calculated using information on the wind climate.


Decision Support

Definition of management interventions

Thinning, no thinning, spacing, stocking density, creation of brown edge (i.e. removing windfirm edge and creating gap).

Prescription enumerating all selected possibilities at stand level, coarser information in GIS layers.

Typical temporal scale of application

Allows full lifecycle analysis of a rotation 15-80 years depending upon species.

Types of decisions supported

  • Management level
    • strategic decisions
    • administrative decisions
    • operating control decisions
  • Management function
  • planning decisions
    • organizing decisions
    • command decisions
    • control decisions
    • coordination decisions
  • decision making situation
    • unilateral
    • collegial

Decision-making processes and models

  • Logic modeling
  • Multiple criteria/ranking


Output

ForestGALES output screen showing results form for a single stand prediction through time.

Types of outputs

Stand version displays critical wind speed, return period, and wind damage risk status. Thematic maps can be generated via a batch tool for visualisation in GIS.

In the Predictions through time mode the results are displayed in a graphic and a table showing the return period in years for damaging storms at intervals throughout the rotation.

There are export facilities allowing results to be sent to Microsoft® Word as a .doc or .rtf file in the Single Stand mode and to Microsoft® Excel® in Batch Mode for display, storage and printing.

Spatial analysis capabilities

The main part of ForestGALES (that does the calculations) was constructed as a stand-alone dynamic link library (DLL), being accessible from other programs, so made it easily integrated with GIS software such as ArcView.

Abilities to address interdisciplinary, multi-scaled, and political issues

Evaluate interactions between different basic information types (biophysical, economic, social). Produce coordinated results for decision makers operating at different spatial scales facilitate social negotiation and learning


System

System requirements

  • The commercial version was designed to run under Microsoft® Windows® OS.
  • Pentium 133 MHz processor or better
  • 500 MB free hard disk space (for full installation including wind scores)
  • 128 MB RAM (minimum)
  • CD-ROM drive
  • Super VGA (800x600) or higher resolution monitor
  • Recommended: Microsoft Excel/Word 97® or above to use data export facilities

Architecture and major DSS components

Desktop UI was written in Delphi™ as a PC-based system.

The application has also been adapted to link to the ArcView™ GIS system using Avenue™ scripting.

Usage

Used in education, public and private sector forestry and research.

Initially developed in Scotland for its usage in the British forests, has since been adapted for use New Zealand, south-west France, eastern Canada and Japan. Also, an adaptation that allows input parameters and wind climate to be easily modified for other countries will be made available.

Computational limitations

Runtime can be an issue for landscape scale analysis over time, but still not more than a few hours.

User interface

The appearance of ForestGALES offers a consistent view designed for easier operation.

For GIS offline service to process data and return a spatial layer with wind risk variables attached. Processing via command line UI. Visualisation any GIS tool.

Documentation and support

Manual available for desktop version. Support available via email and extensive on-line help.

ForestGALES training courses were run in the past with regularity, but now are being run when there is sufficient demand.

Installation

  • Desktop version is easy to install in MS Windows with the program's CD.
  • Online reduced version only requires a web-browser and an internet access.


References

External resources

  • ForestGALES website
  • Forest Research Decision Support Portal (note registration required)
  • GARDINER B., J SUÁREZ, A. ACHIM, S. HALE et B. NICOLL (2006): ForestGALES. A PC-based wind risk model for British Forests. User’s Guide. Version 2.1. Forestry Commission. (available on-line in pdf)
  • REYNOLDS K.M., TWERY M., LEXER M.J., VACIK H., RAY D., SHAO G,. et BORGES J.G.: Decision Support Systems in Forest Management IN BURSTEIN F. et HOLSAPPLE C. W. (EDS.) (2008): Handbook on Decision Support Systems 2: Variations. Springer Berlin Heidelberg. 800 pp.