Difference between revisions of "GAYA"

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== General System description ==  
 
== General System description ==  
  
System name: GAYA-JLP
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System name: GAYA
 
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Full name: Norwegian long range forest management planning model (NABUURS et PÄIVINEN 1996).
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=== Brief overview ===
 
=== Brief overview ===
Swedish DSS composed of the GAYA stand simulator and the J mathematical programming tool.
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GAYA is a forest simulator that may be applied to stands or sample plots. Different optimization tools can be connected to the simulator.The first version of GAYA was developed by Prof. Ljusk Ola Eriksson at the Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences. GAYA was "imported" to Norway and transferred to Norwegian conditions by the professors Hans Fredrik Hoen and Tron Eid at the Norwegian University of Life Sciences around 1990.  
  
[[Category:Finished articles]]
 
 
[[Category:Decision support system]]
 
[[Category:Decision support system]]
 
[[Category:Swedish DSS]]
 
[[Category:Swedish DSS]]
[[Category:Picea abies]]
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[[Category:Norwegian DSS]]
[[Category:Pinus sylvestris]]
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[[Category:Betula spp.]]
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[[Category:Stand level]]
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[[Category:Linear programming]]
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[[Category:Economic evaluation]]
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[[Category:Yield prediction]]
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[[Category:Wood quality]]
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[[Category:Fertilization]]
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[[Category:Carbon sequestration]]
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[[Category:Biomass estimation]]
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[[Category:Ecological classification]]
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[[Category:DOS]]
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[[Category:Windows Client OS]]
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[[Category:OS/2]]
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[[Category:Tactical planning]]
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[[Category:Command line interface]]
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__TOC__
 
__TOC__
  
 
=== Scope of the system ===
 
=== Scope of the system ===
GAYA-JLP is used both for analyse long range forest management planning at forest level based on information for individual forest stands, and for analyses based on (aggregated) sample plot data for the national forest inventory.
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GAYA is a forest simulator describing the forest dynamics according to silvicultural treatments. The simulations are based on predefined forest treatments and area-based models describing growth, mortality, prices and costs. Calculations and ”book-keeping” is carried out for up to 20 periods of 5 or 10 years. GAYA is used both for long term forest management planning at forest level based on information for individual forest stands, and for analyses based on sample plots e.g. from the national forest inventory.
 
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It has two main modules the [[#Forest models|stand simulator]] and the [[#Decision-making processes and models|decision model]].
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=== System origin ===
 
=== System origin ===
* GAYA model used simulations to describe silvicultural regimes in single sample plots, stands or strata, and employed [[:Category:Linear programming|linear programming]] (LP) to settle management strategies on a forest level. Further development has taken place since 1990 and the model, today called GAYA-JLP, is now a comprehensive tool for long-term analyses<ref>EID, T. et K. HOBBELSTAD (2000): AVVIRK-2000: A Large-scale Forestry Scenario Model for Long-term Investment, Income and Harvest Analyses. ‘’Scand. J. For. Res.’’ 15: 472-482.</ref>.
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* GAYA was developed for long-term economic analysis of forest production it is used for research and education in Sweden and Norway.
* GAYA-JLP was developed for long-term economic analysis of forest production in Norway.
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* It was used for research and education at NSK (NABUURS et PÄIVINEN 1996).
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=== Support for specific issues  ===
 
=== Support for specific issues  ===
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=== Related systems  ===
 
=== Related systems  ===
It has a strong resemblance to the Finish [[MELA]] model.
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It has a strong resemblance to the Finish [[MELA]] model and GAYA is a major part in the [[SGIS]] system.
 
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== Data and data models ==
 
== Data and data models ==
  
 
=== Typical spatial extent of application  ===
 
=== Typical spatial extent of application  ===
Large scale model using stand level growth model.
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GAYA is using stand level growth models.
 
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It is used both for analyse long range forest management planning at forest level based on information for individual forest stands, and for analyses based on (aggregated) sample plot data for the national forest inventory.  
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=== Forest data input  ===
 
=== Forest data input  ===
There are a total of 28 state variables defined for the stand. They are divided between species, biologically, and economically related variables.
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About 30 state variables are used for defining the forest stand. They are divided between species, biologically, and economically related variables.
 
* Species is defined by tree number, basal are, height, age and volume.
 
* Species is defined by tree number, basal are, height, age and volume.
 
* Stand is further defined by area, site index, and e.g. earlier treatments in the rotation.
 
* Stand is further defined by area, site index, and e.g. earlier treatments in the rotation.
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=== Type of information input from user ===
 
=== Type of information input from user ===
The following control variables can be user-specified in decision making:
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The following control variables are examples of variables that can be user-specified when defining potential treatments:
 
* basal area of the removal as a percentage of total basal area;
 
* basal area of the removal as a percentage of total basal area;
 
* basal area in the remaining stand;
 
* basal area in the remaining stand;
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* number of trees in the remaining stand;
 
* number of trees in the remaining stand;
 
* diameter ratio between removed trees and remaining stand;
 
* diameter ratio between removed trees and remaining stand;
* type of fertiliser;
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* type of fertilizer;
* intensity of fertiliser.
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* intensity of fertilizer.
Within the optimization package JLP some constraints have also to be defined, such as non-declining flow of wood, maximisation of NPV, etc.
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== Models ==
 
== Models ==
  
 
=== Forest models ===
 
=== Forest models ===
GAYA is the simulator module. It simulates alternative forest management treatment schedules for each calculation unit. A rotation is divided in two periods, the regeneration and the thinning phase. Within the former, the development cannot be manipulated; it is endogenously defined; only the length of the period can be user defined. During the latter, up to three species per stand can be simulated, projecting its development separately. Development is simulated based on regression functions in terms of diameter, basal area, height, spacing and natural mortality. The time dimension of the calculation, the treatment unit, is user controlled, it is a discrete number of time period of uniform length of 5 or 10 years. Cost and revenues for each management unit are also calculated.
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GAYA simulates alternative forest management treatment schedules for each calculation unit. Up to three species per stand can be simulated, projecting its development separately. Development is simulated based on area-based models describing diameter, basal area, height, spacing and natural mortality. The time dimension of the calculations is user controlled, i.e. a discrete number of time periods of uniform length of 5 or 10 years may be applied. Costs, revenues and a net present value are calculated for all treatment schedules of each calculation unit.
 
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== Decision Support ==
 
== Decision Support ==
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=== Definition of management interventions ===
 
=== Definition of management interventions ===
 
Silvicultural treatments, fertilization, regeneration methods, thinnings, harvesting.
 
Silvicultural treatments, fertilization, regeneration methods, thinnings, harvesting.
 
=== Typical temporal scale of application ===
 
Tactical planning.
 
  
 
=== Decision-making processes and models ===
 
=== Decision-making processes and models ===
The implemented optimization module to solve the planning problem is the [[JLP]]-package. It uses [[:Category:Linear programming|linear programming]].
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The simulated treatment schedules can be exported to an optimization module to solve the planning problem. The [[JLP]]-package and the [[J]]-package is commonly used and they both use [[:Category:Linear programming|linear programming]].
 
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== Output ==
 
== Output ==
  
 
=== Types of  outputs ===
 
=== Types of  outputs ===
Outputs are displayed in tables, showing nearly 40 defined variables for each time period. They are divided in periodic and non-periodic variables.
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Outputs are displayed in tables, showing a number of defined variables for each time period. They are divided in periodic and non-periodic variables.
  
 
Periodic variables
 
Periodic variables
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Non-periodic variables
 
Non-periodic variables
 
:For the treatment schedule: NPV at time zero, ending inventory value (EIV; NPV at the end of the last period). NPV and EIV of CO<sub>2</sub>-flow, total NPV in case CO<sub>2</sub>-flow is priced.
 
:For the treatment schedule: NPV at time zero, ending inventory value (EIV; NPV at the end of the last period). NPV and EIV of CO<sub>2</sub>-flow, total NPV in case CO<sub>2</sub>-flow is priced.
:Variables for the calculation unit: number of schedules, area, site, vegetation type, altitude, rentability’’’, slope, and a GIS-specified treatment code.
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:Variables for the calculation unit: number of schedules, area, site, vegetation type, altitude, rentability, slope, and a GIS-specified treatment code.
  
 
=== Spatial analysis capabilities  ===
 
=== Spatial analysis capabilities  ===
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=== System requirements  ===
 
=== System requirements  ===
Operating Systems: DOS (5.O or above), OS/2 (2.1 or above) or Windows (3.1 or above).
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Operating Systems: Windows XP and above.
 
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=== Architecture and major DSS components ===
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As it was said before, the GAYA-JLP system is divided in two modules, the simulation model GAYA, and the optimization module using JLP.
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=== Usage ===
 
=== Usage ===
It was used at research and educational level.
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Developed for research and educational level. However, GAYA is also used at some Norwegian forest inventory companies as a part of [[SGIS]].
  
 
=== Computational limitations ===
 
=== Computational limitations ===
The GAYA-JLP system has solved problems with 200,000 decision variables and 8,000 stands (NABUURS et PÄIVINEN 1996).
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GAYA is developed using FORTRAN.
  
 
=== User interface ===
 
=== User interface ===
Command line interface. Building all the management schedules is very laborious, especially when large areas and detailed outputs are wanted.
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Command line interface and defining potential treatments in a command file are laborious. However, sample command files are available. And graphical user interface developed in MS Excel is also available.
 
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== References ==
 
== References ==

Latest revision as of 08:00, 14 October 2012

General System description

System name: GAYA

Brief overview

GAYA is a forest simulator that may be applied to stands or sample plots. Different optimization tools can be connected to the simulator.The first version of GAYA was developed by Prof. Ljusk Ola Eriksson at the Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences. GAYA was "imported" to Norway and transferred to Norwegian conditions by the professors Hans Fredrik Hoen and Tron Eid at the Norwegian University of Life Sciences around 1990.

Scope of the system

GAYA is a forest simulator describing the forest dynamics according to silvicultural treatments. The simulations are based on predefined forest treatments and area-based models describing growth, mortality, prices and costs. Calculations and ”book-keeping” is carried out for up to 20 periods of 5 or 10 years. GAYA is used both for long term forest management planning at forest level based on information for individual forest stands, and for analyses based on sample plots e.g. from the national forest inventory.

System origin

  • GAYA was developed for long-term economic analysis of forest production it is used for research and education in Sweden and Norway.

Support for specific issues

It provides support for forest management planning, through harvesting scheduling, economic evaluation, CO2-flow evaluation, yield prediction, and its optimization.

Support for specific thematic areas of a problem type

  • Silvicultural
  • Certification
  • Conservation
  • Development choices / land use zoning
  • Policy/intervention alternatives

Related systems

It has a strong resemblance to the Finish MELA model and GAYA is a major part in the SGIS system.

Data and data models

Typical spatial extent of application

GAYA is using stand level growth models.

Forest data input

About 30 state variables are used for defining the forest stand. They are divided between species, biologically, and economically related variables.

  • Species is defined by tree number, basal are, height, age and volume.
  • Stand is further defined by area, site index, and e.g. earlier treatments in the rotation.
  • Economical stand related variables are the terrain transportation distance, several difficulty parameters related to felling operations and a wood quality parameter.

Type of information input from user

The following control variables are examples of variables that can be user-specified when defining potential treatments:

  • basal area of the removal as a percentage of total basal area;
  • basal area in the remaining stand;
  • number of trees in the removal;
  • number of trees in the remaining stand;
  • diameter ratio between removed trees and remaining stand;
  • type of fertilizer;
  • intensity of fertilizer.

Models

Forest models

GAYA simulates alternative forest management treatment schedules for each calculation unit. Up to three species per stand can be simulated, projecting its development separately. Development is simulated based on area-based models describing diameter, basal area, height, spacing and natural mortality. The time dimension of the calculations is user controlled, i.e. a discrete number of time periods of uniform length of 5 or 10 years may be applied. Costs, revenues and a net present value are calculated for all treatment schedules of each calculation unit.

Decision Support

Definition of management interventions

Silvicultural treatments, fertilization, regeneration methods, thinnings, harvesting.

Decision-making processes and models

The simulated treatment schedules can be exported to an optimization module to solve the planning problem. The JLP-package and the J-package is commonly used and they both use linear programming.

Output

Types of outputs

Outputs are displayed in tables, showing a number of defined variables for each time period. They are divided in periodic and non-periodic variables.

Periodic variables

Treatment undertaken in the period.
For stand after treatment: total tree number, standing volume by species, basal area, dominant height, age, and NAI (Net Area Increment).
Removal: total tree number, volume for each species., basal area, mean diameter, sawwood and pulpwood proportions, price and cost information (including haulage costs), cash flow, total biomass, and net CO2 flow.

Non-periodic variables

For the treatment schedule: NPV at time zero, ending inventory value (EIV; NPV at the end of the last period). NPV and EIV of CO2-flow, total NPV in case CO2-flow is priced.
Variables for the calculation unit: number of schedules, area, site, vegetation type, altitude, rentability, slope, and a GIS-specified treatment code.

Spatial analysis capabilities

Spatial constraints such as adjacency cannot be taken into account. However, a GIS integration implementation is operative.


System

System requirements

Operating Systems: Windows XP and above.

Usage

Developed for research and educational level. However, GAYA is also used at some Norwegian forest inventory companies as a part of SGIS.

Computational limitations

GAYA is developed using FORTRAN.

User interface

Command line interface and defining potential treatments in a command file are laborious. However, sample command files are available. And graphical user interface developed in MS Excel is also available.

References

Cited references


External resources

  • NABUURS G.J. et R. PÄIVINEN (1996): Large Scale Forestry Scenario Models - a compilation and review. European Forest Institute Working Paper No. 10. Joensuu, Finland.