Difference between revisions of "Wg2 workplan"

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(Activities and Outputs)
 
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=Workplan=
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= Working Group 2 - main objectives =
==Objectives==
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WG 2 focuses both on the assessment of multi-functional forest models and on approaches to the integration of these and other pertinent models within the model base system of a DSS. It emphasizes the assessment and combination of models and methods to address multiple objectives and sustainability, multiple ownership, multiple temporal and spatial scales, risk and uncertainty and lack of information. Further, it addresses processes to manage and maintain the model base to improve the effectiveness of forest DSSs in direct linkage to the work of WG1.
  
WG 2 provides the expertise in models and methods to support the work of the cost action. The main objective in the first year 2009-10 is to begin a review of the different methods and approaches that are (or have been) used to provide information or evidence for forest management and forest planning decisions or have been used in other areas of science for planning and decision making. The review will focus on the basic model elements and approaches, commenting on the benefits, constraints, and applicability for forest management and planning.
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== Work Program 2009 ==
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=== Activities and Outputs ===
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* WG2 established - 50 participants from 22 countries.
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* Organization of the work on topic areas and (Classic optimization / Multi-criteria methods / Bayesian and Heuristic methods) and Forestry Domain (Spatial planning, species, forest type, classification systems / Operations planning, timing, method /  Impact of operations on environment / Impact on communities and livelihoods).
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* WG2 sessions at Riga meeting.
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* A WG2 designated page on the wiki opened.
  
It is hoped that a draft review will be completed in time for the April 2010 meeting in Lisbon, and the work in progress will be discussed and disseminated at a meeting in Latvia in November 2009.
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== Work Program 2010 ==
==Activities==
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=== Activities and Outputs ===
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* WG2 has increased its number of participants from 50 from 22 countries in 2009 to 53 from 23 countries.
 +
* A spreadsheet categorizing DSS tools and methods established.
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* The wiki has been amended with a list of methods and tolls for Methods-Based Management System (which could also serve as basis for classification of DSSs).
 +
* Presentation at the EURO XXIV - 24th European Conference on Operational Research (July, 12-14, Lisbon, Portugal) of an analysis of operations research methods found in European forest DSSs based on the data in the wiki.
 +
* Presentation at the EURO ForeStClim Mid-term Conference (September, 20-22 , Nancy, France) of an analysis of the applicability of existing forest DSSs for climate change analysis based on the data in the wiki.
  
These activities support the development of milestone M2 and will help clarify information required for the subsequent milestones and outputs M8 (Functionality of approaches and models) and M12 (Integration of models and approaches) to support the components of the MBMS (M13).
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== Work Program 2011 ==
===Work Program===
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=== Activities and Outputs ===
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# Adding content to the spreadsheet of DSS tools based on country reports and information on the wiki.
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# Additional reviews of new and innovative methods not currently applied in forest DSS development.
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# Continue the process of DSS meta-analysis together with other WGs:
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## Develop evaluation criteria.
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## Select case studies.
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# STSM’s (as proposed in the call text) are going to be hosted by the members of WG2.
  
* Draft a work plan for year 1 with review topic and submit finalise and agree with the Steering Group (done)
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=Classification of approaches and models to describe topic groups=
* Send to the working group members for comments – feedback to be received by 17th August 2009
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* Disseminate the agreed plan WG2 members and ask members to rank their expertise by topics to form sub-groups - by end August 2009
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* Nominate review topic leaders for sub-groups to co-ordinate review work by topic – agree membership by end August 2009
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* Register for Riga Conference by end August 2009
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* Begin review on 1st September 2009
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* Mid October – Working group 2, sub-group topic leaders discussion (no more than 10 people including Prof Jose Borges) by Skype or teleconference. To discuss and review progress, and to finalise the WG2 program for the Riga conference.
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* Present, discuss the review and outcomes from STSM at MC/WG Riga conference in November 2009
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* Complete review components - by 1st December 2009
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* Assemble the components into a single document and edit a 1st draft - by end February 2010.
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* Distribute to authors and working group members, and SG for comments – by end February 2010
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* Amend document - by end March 2010
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* Present 2nd draft to Forsys Lisbon conference in April 2010.
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===Classification of approaches and models to describe topic groups===
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The work will be split into 4 main topic areas, each led by an expert with experience in the field.
 
The work will be split into 4 main topic areas, each led by an expert with experience in the field.
{| No | Topic | Brief Description/Examples
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{| class="joon" cellspacing="0"
|- 1 | Classic optimization | Time series analysis, GLM, Time series, probabilistic methods, spatial (agent-based , cellular automata), Data fusion, validation, curve and surface fitting, sensitivity, etc
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! No  
|- 2 | Multi-criteria methods | Multi-objective approaches Multi-attribute approaches AHP
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! Topic  
|- 3 | Bayesian and Heuristic methods | Networks, decision graphs, decision trees, Optimization and parameterization, uncertainty, Monte Carlo simulation
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! Brief Description/Examples
 +
|-
 +
|
 +
1  
 +
| Classic optimization  
 +
| Time series analysis, GLM, Time series, probabilistic methods, spatial (agent-based , cellular automata), Data fusion, validation, curve and surface fitting, sensitivity, etc
 +
|-
 +
| 2  
 +
| Multi-criteria methods  
 +
| Multi-objective approaches Multi-attribute approaches AHP
 +
|-
 +
| 3  
 +
| Bayesian and Heuristic methods  
 +
| Networks, decision graphs, decision trees, Optimization and parameterization, uncertainty, Monte Carlo simulation
 
|}
 
|}
  
 
Each topic area could be further sub-divided to review the topic within the domain areas shown below
 
Each topic area could be further sub-divided to review the topic within the domain areas shown below
| No | Forestry Domain
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{| class="joon" cellspacing="0"
| 1. | Spatial planning, species, forest type, classification systems
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! No  
| 2. | Operations planning, timing, method
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! Forestry Domain
| 3. | Impact of operations on environment and/or biodiversity
+
|-
| 4. | Impact on communities and livelihoods
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| 1.
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| Spatial planning, species, forest type, classification systems
 +
|-
 +
| 2.  
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| Operations planning, timing, method
 +
|-
 +
| 3.
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| Impact of operations on environment and/or biodiversity
 +
|-
 +
| 4.  
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| Impact on communities and livelihoods
 +
|}
  
 
The review will examine methods and approaches, and where possible comment on the applicability of the approach in relation to a forestry context. However, it is expected that many methods will be from other disciplines, and in these cases opinion based on case studies from other domains will be very valuable.
 
The review will examine methods and approaches, and where possible comment on the applicability of the approach in relation to a forestry context. However, it is expected that many methods will be from other disciplines, and in these cases opinion based on case studies from other domains will be very valuable.
3. Outputs planned for year
 
 
    * Organise approaches and models into groups reflecting different planning and decision making tasks and the appropriate methods
 
    * Assemble a table/diagram with a rationale and citations defining compatible methods and models used in forest management and planning
 
    * Draft report of the methods and approaches review.
 

Latest revision as of 15:13, 8 January 2011

Working Group 2 - main objectives

WG 2 focuses both on the assessment of multi-functional forest models and on approaches to the integration of these and other pertinent models within the model base system of a DSS. It emphasizes the assessment and combination of models and methods to address multiple objectives and sustainability, multiple ownership, multiple temporal and spatial scales, risk and uncertainty and lack of information. Further, it addresses processes to manage and maintain the model base to improve the effectiveness of forest DSSs in direct linkage to the work of WG1.

Work Program 2009

Activities and Outputs

  • WG2 established - 50 participants from 22 countries.
  • Organization of the work on topic areas and (Classic optimization / Multi-criteria methods / Bayesian and Heuristic methods) and Forestry Domain (Spatial planning, species, forest type, classification systems / Operations planning, timing, method / Impact of operations on environment / Impact on communities and livelihoods).
  • WG2 sessions at Riga meeting.
  • A WG2 designated page on the wiki opened.

Work Program 2010

Activities and Outputs

  • WG2 has increased its number of participants from 50 from 22 countries in 2009 to 53 from 23 countries.
  • A spreadsheet categorizing DSS tools and methods established.
  • The wiki has been amended with a list of methods and tolls for Methods-Based Management System (which could also serve as basis for classification of DSSs).
  • Presentation at the EURO XXIV - 24th European Conference on Operational Research (July, 12-14, Lisbon, Portugal) of an analysis of operations research methods found in European forest DSSs based on the data in the wiki.
  • Presentation at the EURO ForeStClim Mid-term Conference (September, 20-22 , Nancy, France) of an analysis of the applicability of existing forest DSSs for climate change analysis based on the data in the wiki.

Work Program 2011

Activities and Outputs

  1. Adding content to the spreadsheet of DSS tools based on country reports and information on the wiki.
  2. Additional reviews of new and innovative methods not currently applied in forest DSS development.
  3. Continue the process of DSS meta-analysis together with other WGs:
    1. Develop evaluation criteria.
    2. Select case studies.
  4. STSM’s (as proposed in the call text) are going to be hosted by the members of WG2.

Classification of approaches and models to describe topic groups

The work will be split into 4 main topic areas, each led by an expert with experience in the field.

No Topic Brief Description/Examples

1

Classic optimization Time series analysis, GLM, Time series, probabilistic methods, spatial (agent-based , cellular automata), Data fusion, validation, curve and surface fitting, sensitivity, etc
2 Multi-criteria methods Multi-objective approaches Multi-attribute approaches AHP
3 Bayesian and Heuristic methods Networks, decision graphs, decision trees, Optimization and parameterization, uncertainty, Monte Carlo simulation

Each topic area could be further sub-divided to review the topic within the domain areas shown below

No Forestry Domain
1. Spatial planning, species, forest type, classification systems
2. Operations planning, timing, method
3. Impact of operations on environment and/or biodiversity
4. Impact on communities and livelihoods

The review will examine methods and approaches, and where possible comment on the applicability of the approach in relation to a forestry context. However, it is expected that many methods will be from other disciplines, and in these cases opinion based on case studies from other domains will be very valuable.