Wg2 workplan
Contents
Working Group 2 - main objectives
WG 2 focuses both on the assessment of multi-functional forest models and on approaches to the integration of these and other pertinent models within the model base system of a DSS. It emphasizes the assessment and combination of models and methods to address multiple objectives and sustainability, multiple ownership, multiple temporal and spatial scales, risk and uncertainty and lack of information. Further, it addresses processes to manage and maintain the model base to improve the effectiveness of forest DSSs in direct linkage to the work of WG1.
Work Program 2009
Activities and Outputs
- WG2 established - 50 participants from 22 countries.
- Organization of the work on topic areas and (Classic optimization / Multi-criteria methods / Bayesian and Heuristic methods) and Forestry Domain (Spatial planning, species, forest type, classification systems / Operations planning, timing, method / Impact of operations on environment / Impact on communities and livelihoods).
- WG2 sessions at Riga meeting.
- A WG2 designated page on the wiki opened.
Work Program 2010
Activities and Outputs
- Classification of models and methods by
- Develop an initial spreadsheet of DSS tools by country
- Focus on models and methods used in development
- WG2 members to check and edit the country contributions (by end Feb 2010)
- Develop a delphi approach to work information into logical framework and attach problem type descriptors after agreement with Steering Group and WG2 (during March 2010)
- 2-3 iterations of Delphi process to agree and finalize the spreadsheet (by end March 2010)
- Convert spreadsheet to database and add tables to provide description of limits/constraints of models and methods, opportunities/benefits of models and methods, include tables to provide references and metadata (by end Jun 2010). This work will provide the basis for the functionality of approaches report.
- Add description information to models and methods and review and report progress to SG at 3 month intervals (end Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec).
- Revise and improve WG2 content in the wiki at least at 3 month intervals (end Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec).
- Review of new and innovative methods not currently applied in forest DSS development (2 more by end April 2010) - possibility of additional reviews later in year to cover models and methods for specific problem types.
- Presentations in Lisbon of STSM reviews (April 2010).
- 1st working draft report (by end December 2010) of the functionality of approaches in DSS development.
Classification of approaches and models to describe topic groups
The work will be split into 4 main topic areas, each led by an expert with experience in the field.
| No | Topic | Brief Description/Examples |
|---|---|---|
|
1 |
Classic optimization | Time series analysis, GLM, Time series, probabilistic methods, spatial (agent-based , cellular automata), Data fusion, validation, curve and surface fitting, sensitivity, etc |
| 2 | Multi-criteria methods | Multi-objective approaches Multi-attribute approaches AHP |
| 3 | Bayesian and Heuristic methods | Networks, decision graphs, decision trees, Optimization and parameterization, uncertainty, Monte Carlo simulation |
Each topic area could be further sub-divided to review the topic within the domain areas shown below
| No | Forestry Domain |
|---|---|
| 1. | Spatial planning, species, forest type, classification systems |
| 2. | Operations planning, timing, method |
| 3. | Impact of operations on environment and/or biodiversity |
| 4. | Impact on communities and livelihoods |
The review will examine methods and approaches, and where possible comment on the applicability of the approach in relation to a forestry context. However, it is expected that many methods will be from other disciplines, and in these cases opinion based on case studies from other domains will be very valuable.
